OpEd: Predicting the International Impacts of Trump’s Second Term

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By José Galicot

José Galicot

TIJUANA, Mexico — The incoming president of the United States, who is also a former president of the United States, causes all kinds of conjectures and expectations about the possibilities of his performance, but let’s dwell, it was difficult for Kamala Harris to win because inevitably, the United States is still a racist country and a good portion of the population would not accept a woman president and of dark complexion, so, the manifest destiny of the following years of the American nation was apparent.

A major winner is Elon Musk, who supported Trump with the endless resources he has available; therefore, Tesla will have perks in this administration.

Ukraine will be part of a forced peace to give Putin a decent exit. There will be peace, but at what price? The Ukrainian citizens will pay the price and, in exchange for part of their territory, may be included in NATO. Volodymyr Zelensky would become a character in a Greek tragedy.

Israel will have a less conditioned ally, and with this new administration, the political scene of the Middle East may be transformed. This will stop Iran from bragging and showing its strategy of military allies (proxy armies), and finally, it will bring peace. Shalom.

Europe will be a conditional partner in sharing NATO’s costs.

China will continue the economic confrontation that took place years ago, and Mexico will become a battleground with the Chinese trying to outflank the American economy by accessing the American market through Mexico.

Taiwan will feel protected, and China will not make antagonistic moves unless a war is declared, which I don’t consider viable. Therefore, China will stop investing in the island.

Japan will begin research on atomic bombs.

North Korea will have to stop sending missiles into international waters.

In its domestic policy, Mexico will be able to do practically whatever it wants. Still, it will have to control migration seriously and will have to prevent shipments of fentanyl from arriving in the United States by reducing the size of the cartels. It could happen, in the extreme scenario, that amphetamine and fentanyl manufacturing centers could be bombed by the Americans, as happened in Colombia. Nowadays, we are the most important exporter to the United States with a favorable balance for Mexico, which will be stopped and punished by the policies of the Mexican government and Trump’s “Make America Great Again.”

The markets exploded like fireworks to celebrate Trump’s new term in the United States. Taxes will be lowered for large industries, encouraging the return of many (the automotive industry) to the country. The country will offer many attractions for investors, like the ones Utah offers: a welcome that is very generous tax-wise and practical rules-wise.

The policy for young Mexican immigrants who have finished college (Dreamers) will be to make them U.S. citizens.
This administration will seek a closer alliance with India to break into the growing unity of the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa), which already have together an economy that could compete with the United States. Trump will use his reputation of meddling in international norms to ignite both war and peace in the world. “Long live America,” remembering the quote by Lopez Velarde ‘Poor Mexico, so far from God and so close to the United States.’However, this writer radically differs because living next to Russia, Iran, or China is less comfortable. Those are ominous neighborhoods.

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José Galicot, founder of Tijuana Innovadora, is a leader of the Mexican Jewish community on both sides of the Tijuana/San Diego border.

1 thought on “OpEd: Predicting the International Impacts of Trump’s Second Term”

  1. clayton miller

    “[I]t was difficult for Kamala Harris to win because inevitably, the United States is still a racist country and a good portion of the population would not accept a woman president and of dark complexion, so, the manifest destiny of the following years of the American nation was apparent.”

    Playing the race card in the very first paragraph? I guess that says it all.

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    It’s just so tragic. By withdrawing from the Philadelphi Corridor (which Netanyahu’s government is publicly denying, but will do) they are just laying the groundwork for future October 7th’s.

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